The stock market plummeted upon hearing the news about the economic relief bill that was defeated in Congress. But despite proclamations of doom and blood flowing in the streets, nobody really knows what the consequences of this congressional, economic, and presidential failure will be.
I must admit that I have mixed thoughts about the state of our economy and what ails it. Because I made the right financial decisions when I was younger, the struggling economy does not impact me or my family in any significant way, save for high gas prices. Because I have always paid my bills on time, resisted the urge to put everything on a credit card, and tried to live within my means, I'm not particularly worried about mounting bills and having to choose between food, car repairs, and medicine. The only debt I have is student loan debt, and even with those, the interest rates are manageable.
My inner conservative thinks everyone is getting what they deserve. If you tried to make a quick buck by flipping a house you couldn't afford, you deserve to get soaked. If you are a manager at an investment banking corporation that relied too heavily on profiting from bad loans, you deserve to have your company's stock value plummet. If you make fat cat purchases on a small fry's salary (e.g., laptop computers, flat screen televisions, SUVs with V8 engines), you deserve to be faced with the anxiety of not knowing where your next meal will come from. Personal responsibility, common sense, and basic financial literacy might not be compatible with our culture of instant gratification, but it is times like this when the wisdom of fiscal prudence is most apparent.
The American Dream is alive and well for all those who work hard and do what it takes to achieve it. Economic prosperity, material wealth, and financial independence are not birthrights. Somewhere along the way, we as a society have lost touch with this notion. The ideas of sacrifice and learning to do without seem increasingly foreign. Why do people drive SUVs instead of station wagons? Why do college students spend so much money downloading ringtones instead of paying down their credit cards? Why do young families decide to buy a house and not rent an apartment? Why are music CDs a more likely destination for teenagers' money than bank CDs?
So many people are trying to live beyond their means. But now it appears that their irresponsibility has finally caught up to them. They are saddled with debt. Their credit is tarnished. They have houses they can't sell, cars they can't drive, and credit card payments they can't postpone. My inner conservative is quite content with that.
I can understand how so many average people got sucked into living a lifestyle they couldn't afford. In addition to our collective financial illiteracy, we live in a society where we are encouraged to spend, spend, spend and keep up with the Joneses. But while I can understand how Joe and Jane American set themselves up for failure, I can't understand how our national leaders in Washington have exercised a similar level of ignorance.
We are fighting two wars, paying billions of dollars in entitlements, and cutting taxes all at the same time. Our two main presidential candidates are talking about even more tax cuts, continued fighting abroad, and/or increasing social programs. Where is all this money coming from? And why doesn't anyone have the courage to ask? Our national leaders are supposed to be more intelligent, more perceptive, more insightful, more pragmatic, and more knowledgeable about the world and its institutions than we are. But if our own government can't balance its own checkbook, how can we expect Joe and Jane American to do the same? Or are the irresponsible leaders in Washington merely a reflection of the irresponsible electorate who gives them their support at the ballot box year after year?
This is where my inner conservative is silenced by my inner liberal. While I believe people should reap what they sow, there comes a point when the consequences of a few people's irresponsibility become unacceptably severe for society as a whole. Let's say that Company X made a string of bad investments and poor financial decisions. Now its stock value is falling precipitously and it is forced to go out of business. The company managers and top executives are indeed getting what they deserve.
But they are not the only ones who are getting soaked. What about the hundreds or thousands of regular employees at Company X who had nothing to do with Company X's poor business decisions? Now these workers are at risk of losing their jobs. Losing a job obviously has a devastating impact on a family. And what about stockholders who invested hefty chunks of cash in what they thought was a reasonably sound company? They are at risk of losing most or all of this money. And people who have invested in Company X for 20 or 30 years are at risk of losing most or all of their retirement savings. What are they supposed to do? Some people may coldly say they should have diversified their portfolios or done more research about Company X's dealings. But it is unrealistic to expect everyone to have the business acumen of Alan Greenspan or Suze Ormond. And what about the people at Company X who simply want a job? They have families to feed, college tuition to pay, and school clothes to buy. They just want to clock in at 8:00, put in 8 hours of hard and honorable work, and go home. Why should they have to suffer because a few powerful and irresponsible managers put their lives in jeopardy?
This brings me to the subject of the failed economic relief bill. Notice that I call it an "economic relief" bill and not an "economic bailout" bill. Some people may indeed be bailed out even though they don't deserve it. But a lot more people likely stood to benefit from this economic assistance. If vulnerable companies do not receive this emergency infusion of cash and temporary absolution of debt, it may become increasingly difficult for them to borrow money, and that hurts everyone. The Wall Street problem will become a My Street problem in a hurry.
If a company cannot borrow the money it needs to help pay the short term costs of regular business operations, these companies may be forced to trim their payrolls. That hurts Joe and Jane American. If a person is unable to get a housing loan because the bank either has no money or refuses to lend it because of the tight credit market, that means you will be stuck with a house that nobody can buy. That hurts Joe and Jane American. If you need to get a loan to start a small business, but can't because of the lack of credit available, your business plan will have to be placed on hold and your business idea risks being co-opted by another entrepreneur. That hurts Joe and Jane American.
$700 billion is an incomprehensibly large amount of money, so it is natural for politicians and regular people alike to recoil in anger at the thought of pumping this cash into failing or failed companies, some of which may be headed by people who don't deserve it. But it seems like the same financial illiteracy and poor decision-making that got us into this mess threatens to prevent us from making the right decision to prevent it from getting worse.
You need two wings to fly a plane. This is why I am neither a conservative nor a liberal. What's best for America usually lies somewhere in between the two extremes. It looks like Congress was able to come up with a bill that had enough elements from both ideologies to be palatable to most congressmen, and that's what makes its failure so unfortunate.

9/29/2008
Lamentations of an Educated Voter: Our Finances
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5 comment(s):
A mixed economy of socialism and capitalism is not such a bad idea. I don’t understand why some people complain bitterly about social welfare, but insist that something must be done immediately when it comes to corporate welfare. Both social and corporate welfare are needed to some extent because free market capitalism is not a perfect system. The Great Depression proved that.
Many Republican politicians are claiming they won’t vote for a taxpayer bailout. These are some of the same politicians who continue to say the market needs to be less regulated (and they have voted accordingly). They stubbornly refuse to fix a problem they helped create.
Spending and taxes are not bad things per se. It’s wasteful spending that needs to be reformed. And there is plenty of blame to go around for that. I think a spending freeze would be a disaster in a capitalist society whose market fluctuates on a dime. Just like today’s market dropping 778 points on news that the bailout failed.
Like Biden said paying taxes is patriotic. I don’t mind my tax dollars going to bailout someone or something as long as that person or organization is held to some standard of accountability. I would hope someone would bail me out if I were in a crunch (even if I was partly to blame). It’s called social responsibility and it’s what makes the world go ’round.
And it’s strange how many Republicans seem so concerned about saving a fetus, but do very little to help the child once it’s born. Hell, they are notorious for cutting childcare programs. It’s also strange how many Republicans seem so concerned about fighting wars but consistently cut funding for veterans.
Sorry for ranting.
An excellent post, Anthony. I'm with you on the personal responsibility issue - I'm opposed to bailing out homeowners who got these bad mortgages unless they were clearly the victims of predatory lending (meaning that the company neglected to tell them they qualified for a regular loan, and pushed the subprime loan on them).
The dilemma relates to what David Brooks says in a column in the NYT today; that there is a vast amount of money sloshing around in the international credit and money markets, and when it starts pouring into an economy on the slightest hint of opportunity, it overrides all sense and reason on the part of that country's money managers. The worst thing about it in the US is that it created a severe disincentive against policies that might have prevented this (like a ban on subprime mortgage loans), for fear of jeopardizing economic growth.
Since cultural and personal incentives towards savings and domestic sources of capital seem to have been completely corroded due to the past 20 years' worth of debt-financed consumer spending, I suppose regulation will have to serve. They'll have to do unpleasant things like banning subprime mortgage loans and restricting certain money flows, and hopefully some smarter rules to encourage domestic savings. We still don't know exactly what this means, and that's the "fun" of it; you never get to figure out what you need to do to stop a major economic crisis until it has already occurred, in most cases.
brett said,
"I'm opposed to bailing out homeowners who got these bad mortgages unless they were clearly the victims of predatory lending"
typical us vs. them. we are all in the financial ship together like it or not. there is plenty of blame to go around. why not blame the lending companies for simply making bad loans; approving loans for risky clients. sounds like bad business practice to me and im not even talking about predatory loans, just BAD loans.
brett said, "past 20 years' worth of debt-financed consumer spending"
what about 20 years of debt-financed government spending? you really are taking it out on individual consumers. just blame everything (free market collapse) on the consumer.
brett said, "unpleasant things like banning subprime mortgage loans and restricting certain money flows." banning subprime loans is unpleasant??? they are named SUBprime for a reason. where on earth do we get the idea that everyone in the US out to take out a loan so they can buy a home they dont need? asinine. let's send everyone to college too so they have to take out loans they can't re-pay because they cant find any jobs because they been sent overseas.
brett said, "and hopefully some smarter rules to encourage domestic savings." how about paying people true living wages so they have enough to save and spend. what a novel concept.
brett said, "We still don't know exactly what this means, and that's the "fun" of it; you never get to figure out what you need to do to stop a major economic crisis until it has already occurred, in most cases."
Fun? there's no need to make economics so difficult. several economists and people at the nation (magazine) and other places have seen this coming for months if not years. perhaps we should have been listening to them instead of just waiting for another collapse that you assume we could do nothing about.
sure there are some cyclical aspects to the market but major swings and prolonged recessions can certainly be prevented or lessened. how? through careful monitoring and regulation. like it or not regulation helps both the individual consumer and large corporation.
We have grown up in a culture that espouses one to not rely on the government to solve our problems but through personal responsibility. It is curious that when a crisis strikes, the first thing we do is turn to the government. I don't necessarily blame the homeowners anymore for buying into bank products that, unknown to them, were faulty (they were great products at the time). On the other hand, I don't believe in the bailout because I believe in the ability of the market to fix itself but I am able to at least pin blame on the industry, and even free-market theory itself.
Something has to give, either free-market theory has failed us and we go for the bailout, or we allow the market to work itself out which could hurt people...and in turn they lose faith in the theory. We are at a crossroads. I am quickly finding that I am questioing my views on the market like never before. The exciting thing is that we are in a pivotal time in American history and while it sucks to live through it, it is great to be a part of it.
typical us vs. them. we are all in the financial ship together like it or not. there is plenty of blame to go around. why not blame the lending companies for simply making bad loans; approving loans for risky clients. sounds like bad business practice to me and im not even talking about predatory loans, just BAD loans.
I actually do blame the lenders for doing this kind of thing - but that doesn't mean I don't blame the borrowers as well. Unless the lender lied to them about what they were available for, they knew they were getting a subprime "teaser" rate that would go up later on, and they still took the loan - many of them because they figured they could sell the house for a profit before that happened.
Ultimately, Thomas, most of the people who got these subprime mortgages were people who just don't have the credit to get a non-above-prime mortgage loan, and probably shouldn't. Now it is affecting everyone's credit (since the banks are very reluctant to lend money), so we bail out the banks - not the homeowners. To clarify, though, I would be fine with giving court judges the discretion to negotiate a new payment plan in bankruptcy court, but that's it.
what about 20 years of debt-financed government spending? you really are taking it out on individual consumers. just blame everything (free market collapse) on the consumer.
I notice you didn't actually answer my point - you simply knee-jerked in favor of the little guy. By the way, debt-financed government spending goes back more than 20 years - but it has only been in the last 20 years that American savings rate have plummeted, going into the negative in the past few years.
banning subprime loans is unpleasant??? they are named SUBprime for a reason. where on earth do we get the idea that everyone in the US out to take out a loan so they can buy a home they dont need? asinine. let's send everyone to college too so they have to take out loans they can't re-pay because they cant find any jobs because they been sent overseas.
How is this even relevant? Do you actually plan to answer my point that it would be an unpleasant (for many borrowers) but good idea to ban subprime mortgage loans? And work on your sentence structure, too; I can barely get the jist out of your semi-coherent post.
and hopefully some smarter rules to encourage domestic savings.
Seeing as how I never said I opposed such thing, only that I favored regulations to encourage people to save, you fail at responding. Again, and for the third time, actually respond to my point; stop trying to lead off with red herring attack.
Fun? there's no need to make economics so difficult. several economists and people at the nation (magazine) and other places have seen this coming for months if not years. perhaps we should have been listening to them instead of just waiting for another collapse that you assume we could do nothing about.
Did they predict that it would lead to a freeze on credit supplied by and between banks? People have been giving warnings, sure - but it's not as if they knew what they were trying to do as soon as the problem started. Hence why there is wide-scale disagreement over whether the Treasury and Federal Reserve's actions are the appropriate ones among economists.
sure there are some cyclical aspects to the market but major swings and prolonged recessions can certainly be prevented or lessened. how? through careful monitoring and regulation. like it or not regulation helps both the individual consumer and large corporation.
Notice how I did argue for more regulation in my post, and didn't argue for government intervention when a crisis hits? I'm getting real tired of your distortions, Thomas; next time, answer my actual post when you do instead of attacking me for tangential reasons.
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